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Canada enters uncharted territory with late 1-0 win over South Africa

Canada enters uncharted territory with late 1-0 win over South Africa
Courtesy: @CANMNT_Official on X
SOU South Africa 0 FT 1 CAN CanMNT

Ahead of his team's Round of 32 showdown with Canada, South African manager Hugo Broos declared, “We are ready for the Canadians. My team will fight for 90 minutes, and longer if necessary.” Unfortunately for South Africa, they forgot the "and longer" part, conceding just over a minute into added time as Stephen Eustáquio's strike from outside the box gave Canada a historic 1-0 victory and a place in the Round of 16.

It was a historic day for the Canadian men's program in Los Angeles. It was the opening match of the Round of 32 and the only game of the day. Jesse Marsch made three changes from the side that started against Switzerland, bringing in Tani Oluwaseyi, Liam Millar, and Moïse Bombito in place of Cyle Larin, Ali Ahmed, and Luc De Fougerolles.

The South African team were expected to play a compact, disciplined, and pragmatic game, with quick transitions out of their solid defensive structure providing goal-scoring opportunities. Canada got exactly that throughout the match, proving to casual observers that South Africa were not a team to be easily broken down.

This was a stark contrast to Canada's high-octane press and high defensive line, designed to put maximum pressure on their opponent before pouncing on mistakes with direct play. However, early on it appeared South Africa had worked out how to absorb the pressure and bypass the press.

It was not long after match referee João Pinheiro got proceedings underway that the first scoring opportunity of the match materialized for South Africa. That first chance fell in the sixth minute to Teboho Mokoena, but his effort from distance, while on target, skipped toward the right of Maxime Crépeau, who safely parried it away to Alistair Johnston before he cleared the danger.

It appeared to be a favourable start to the match for Bafana Bafana, but little did they realize that Mokoena's effort would be their only shot on target.

Canada had their first dangerous foray into the final third two minutes later down the left flank, but Richie Laryea's attempted cross was blocked behind for a corner. This set the tone for the match, as Canada periodically probed the South African defence but were denied in equal measure by South Africa's defensive solidity and Canada's own profligacy in the final third.

Canada had their best opportunity to that point in the 22nd minute from a dead-ball situation, but Stephen Eustáquio's lofted delivery could not be converted. Derek Cornelius mistimed his leap, and his header lacked conviction, allowing South African keeper Ronwen Williams to gather comfortably.

Heading into the first-half hydration break, neither side could be said to be truly pressing their advantage, and both looked rather tentative in attack. Canada held a slight edge in possession at that stage of the match.

Coming out of the break, it became apparent that Canada had modified their usual high-press approach in favour of inviting South Africa to have more possession and attempt to play through a mid-block. While South Africa did create a few dangerous moments, the overall effect of the tactical adjustment was to allow them to rack up passing statistics between their goalkeeper and back line.

In the waning minutes of the half, Canada turned up the heat on their opponent. In the 44th minute, an inswinging corner from Eustáquio that South Africa's defence struggled to clear created three chances in quick succession. First, Bombito got a partial header on target that was saved. Then, Cornelius attempted a header of his own but could not make solid contact. Finally, Tajon Buchanan fired a close-range effort that South African keeper Ronwen Williams bravely kept out.

Only a minute later, Laryea appeared to be brought down inside the box, but neither referee João Pinheiro nor the VAR officials felt the challenge met the threshold for a penalty. After the halftime whistle, a visibly frustrated Jesse Marsch had to be pulled away from approaching the referee by Bombito.

The half finished scoreless, with Canada generating three big chances compared to none for South Africa. Not surprisingly, Canada's xG stood at 0.94 compared to a paltry 0.06 for South Africa, although the latter held a 55 percent advantage in possession, reflecting Canada's surprising tactical approach.

Jesse Marsch opted not to make any personnel changes to start the second half. The game proceeded largely along the same lines as the first, with neutrals at SoFi Stadium whistling their displeasure whenever South Africa's back line hesitated to advance the ball into Canada's mid-block.

Marsch's first changes came in the 59th minute when Bombito and Nathan Saliba, who struggled to make an impact on the game, made way for Luc De Fougerolles and Niko Sigur. The latter was making a rare appearance in midfield for Canada.

Canada had its first glorious chance of the second half in the 65th minute when a quick break led by Sigur slipped Oluwaseyi in almost clear. His shot was blocked by the onrushing goalkeeper, and the rebound was then cleared off the six-yard line by the imposing young Chicago Fire defender Mbekezeli Mbokazi just ahead of Jonathan David.

In the 70th minute, Marsch again reached into his bench, bringing on Promise David and Jacob Shaffelburg in place of Oluwaseyi and Millar as Canada looked for fresh legs to press the attack.

That was followed shortly afterward by the long-awaited introduction of Alphonso Davies in the 75th minute, with Buchanan making way. Time was running down, and Canada desperately sought both an emotional lift and the dynamism of their talismanic captain down the left flank. Shaffelburg switched over to the right wing.

Davies' introduction almost immediately paid dividends a minute later when he threaded a sublime pass to Promise David on the edge of the box. David turned tightly and drove a low shot just wide of the keeper's post.

Only two minutes later, Phonzy again skipped past a defender before deftly slipping a pass to Jonathan David in tight, but his high effort was parried away by the now under-fire South African goalkeeper.

Despite the pressure, the prospect of extra time was looming when the fourth official announced five additional minutes would be added to the second half.

However, the breakthrough for Canada finally came in the first minute of added time, from an unexpected source. A Shaffelburg cross was intercepted by a South African defender, but the headed clearance—rather than going back to where it originated—was directed straight to a waiting, unmarked Eustáquio on the edge of the box. Eustáquio made no mistake, placing the ball beyond the reach of the diving keeper and into the net just inside the right post. It was his fifth international goal in his 60th cap.

Canada held on nervously for the final few minutes to record, once again, their most important win in the men’s program’s history.

Eustáquio, who was named FIFA Man of the Match, put in a monster performance for Canada. He finished with two big chances created, completing 43 of 48 passes for a 90 percent success rate, including five key passes. Defensively, he won two of three tackles, four of seven ground duels, and one of two aerial duels. He also contributed 0.61 expected assists and, of course, the game-winning goal.

Eustáquio explained in his post-match comments about Canada's play leading up to the goal that “belief is a big part of it.” They “just kept believing, kept pushing”.

Jonathan David added that the result “showed the resilience of the team,” and that Davies' late introduction to the match opened up more space for the rest of the team.

For his part, Davies expressed that the feeling was “joy and relief” when Eustáquio's goal went in. Alistair Johnston added that “it was a moment of magic.”

Jesse Marsch was ecstatic for his team in the on-field post-match huddle, telling his players it was all about “you showing your character, you are Canadian heroes”.

South Africa, outside of an early attempt in the first half, never really threatened or tested Crépeau, as he had only one save to make. Canada's back line had some shaky moments early on but grew into the game, and as it progressed, there were very few chances created against them. The Canadian centre-back axis of Cornelius and Bombito slowly regained the defensive understanding that had made them a formidable presence before Bombito's injury last year.

Overall, Les Rouges held South Africa to just nine touches inside their penalty area. Canada finished with four big chances and an xG of 1.32, to South Africa's 0.13 and no big chances created. Canada's victory over South Africa secured their spot in the Round of 16 of this World Cup. Canada now awaits the winner of the match between Morocco and the Netherlands.